13.7 Probability (Page 3/18)

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A card is drawn from a standard deck. Find the probability of drawing a red card or an ace.

$\frac{7}{13}$

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Computing the probability of mutually exclusive events

Suppose the spinner in [link] is spun again, but this time we are interested in the probability of spinning an orange or a $d .$ There are no sectors that are both orange and contain a $d,$ so these two events have no outcomes in common. Events are said to be mutually exclusive events when they have no outcomes in common. Because there is no overlap, there is nothing to subtract, so the general formula is

P (E \cup F) = P (E) + P (F)

Notice that with mutually exclusive events, the intersection of $E$ and $F$ is the empty set. The probability of spinning an orange is $\frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$ and the probability of spinning a $d$ is $\frac{1}{6} .$ We can find the probability of spinning an orange or a $d$ simply by adding the two probabilities.

\begin{array}{l} P (E \cup^{​} F) = P (E) + P (F) \\ = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{6} \\ = \frac{2}{3} \end{array}

The probability of spinning an orange or a $d$ is $\frac{2}{3} .$

A General Note

Probability of the union of mutually exclusive events

The probability of the union of two mutually exclusive events $E and F$ is given by

P (E \cup F) = P (E) + P (F)

How To

Given a set of events, compute the probability of the union of mutually exclusive events.

Determine the total number of outcomes for the first event.
Find the probability of the first event.
Determine the total number of outcomes for the second event.
Find the probability of the second event.
Add the probabilities.

Computing the probability of the union of mutually exclusive events

A card is drawn from a standard deck. Find the probability of drawing a heart or a spade.

The events “drawing a heart” and “drawing a spade” are mutually exclusive because they cannot occur at the same time. The probability of drawing a heart is $\frac{1}{4},$ and the probability of drawing a spade is also $\frac{1}{4},$ so the probability of drawing a heart or a spade is

\frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{2}

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Try It

A card is drawn from a standard deck. Find the probability of drawing an ace or a king.

$\frac{2}{13}$

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Using the complement rule to compute probabilities

We have discussed how to calculate the probability that an event will happen. Sometimes, we are interested in finding the probability that an event will not happen. The complement of an event $E,$ denoted $E^{'},$ is the set of outcomes in the sample space that are not in $E .$ For example, suppose we are interested in the probability that a horse will lose a race. If event $W$ is the horse winning the race, then the complement of event $W$ is the horse losing the race.

To find the probability that the horse loses the race, we need to use the fact that the sum of all probabilities in a probability model must be 1.

P (E^{'}) = 1 - P (E)

The probability of the horse winning added to the probability of the horse losing must be equal to 1. Therefore, if the probability of the horse winning the race is $\frac{1}{9},$ the probability of the horse losing the race is simply

1 - \frac{1}{9} = \frac{8}{9}

A General Note

The complement rule

The probability that the complement of an event will occur is given by

P (E^{'}) = 1 - P (E)

Using the complement rule to calculate probabilities

Two six-sided number cubes are rolled.

Find the probability that the sum of the numbers rolled is less than or equal to 3.
Find the probability that the sum of the numbers rolled is greater than 3.

The first step is to identify the sample space, which consists of all the possible outcomes. There are two number cubes, and each number cube has six possible outcomes. Using the Multiplication Principle, we find that there are $6 \times 6,$ or $36$ total possible outcomes. So, for example, 1-1 represents a 1 rolled on each number cube.

$1-1$	$1-2$	$1-3$	$1-4$	$1-5$	$1-6$
$2-1$	$2-2$	$2-3$	$2-4$	$2-5$	$2-6$
$3-1$	$3-2$	$3-3$	$3-4$	$3-5$	$3-6$
$4-1$	$4-2$	$4-3$	$4-4$	$4-5$	$4-6$
$5-1$	$5-2$	$5-3$	$5-4$	$5-5$	$5-6$
$6-1$	$6-2$	$6-3$	$6-4$	$6-5$	$6-6$

We need to count the number of ways to roll a sum of 3 or less. These would include the following outcomes: 1-1, 1-2, and 2-1. So there are only three ways to roll a sum of 3 or less. The probability is
$\frac{3}{36} = \frac{1}{12}$
Rather than listing all the possibilities, we can use the Complement Rule. Because we have already found the probability of the complement of this event, we can simply subtract that probability from 1 to find the probability that the sum of the numbers rolled is greater than 3.
$\begin{array}{l} P (E^{'}) = 1 - P (E) \\ = 1 - \frac{1}{12} \\ = \frac{11}{12} \end{array}$

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Questions & Answers

how did you get 1640

Noor Reply

If auger is pair are the roots of equation x2+5x-3=0

Peter Reply

Wayne and Dennis like to ride the bike path from Riverside Park to the beach. Dennis’s speed is seven miles per hour faster than Wayne’s speed, so it takes Wayne 2 hours to ride to the beach while it takes Dennis 1.5 hours for the ride. Find the speed of both bikers.

MATTHEW Reply

420

Sharon

from theory: distance [miles] = speed [mph] × time [hours] info #1 speed_Dennis × 1.5 = speed_Wayne × 2 => speed_Wayne = 0.75 × speed_Dennis (i) info #2 speed_Dennis = speed_Wayne + 7 [mph] (ii) use (i) in (ii) => [...] speed_Dennis = 28 mph speed_Wayne = 21 mph

George

Let W be Wayne's speed in miles per hour and D be Dennis's speed in miles per hour. We know that W + 7 = D and W * 2 = D * 1.5. Substituting the first equation into the second: W * 2 = (W + 7) * 1.5 W * 2 = W * 1.5 + 7 * 1.5 0.5 * W = 7 * 1.5 W = 7 * 3 or 21 W is 21 D = W + 7 D = 21 + 7 D = 28

Salma

Devon is 32 32 years older than his son, Milan. The sum of both their ages is 54 54. Using the variables d d and m m to represent the ages of Devon and Milan, respectively, write a system of equations to describe this situation. Enter the equations below, separated by a comma.

Aaron Reply

find product (-6m+6) ( 3m²+4m-3)

SIMRAN Reply

-42m²+60m-18

Salma

what is the solution

bill

how did you arrive at this answer?

bill

-24m+3+3mÁ^2

Susan

i really want to learn

Amira

I only got 42 the rest i don't know how to solve it. Please i need help from anyone to help me improve my solving mathematics please

Amira

Hw did u arrive to this answer.

Aphelele

Bajemah

-6m(3mA²+4m-3)+6(3mA²+4m-3) =-18m²A²-24m²+18m+18mA²+24m-18 Rearrange like items -18m²A²-24m²+42m+18A²-18

Salma

complete the table of valuesfor each given equatio then graph. 1.x+2y=3

Jovelyn Reply

x=3-2y

Salma

y=x+3/2

Salma

Enock

given that (7x-5):(2+4x)=8:7find the value of x

Nandala

3x-12y=18

Kelvin

please why isn't that the 0is in ten thousand place

Grace Reply

please why is it that the 0is in the place of ten thousand

Grace

Send the example to me here and let me see

Stephen

A meditation garden is in the shape of a right triangle, with one leg 7 feet. The length of the hypotenuse is one more than the length of one of the other legs. Find the lengths of the hypotenuse and the other leg

Marry Reply

how far

Abubakar

cool u

Enock

state in which quadrant or on which axis each of the following angles given measure. in standard position would lie 89°

Abegail Reply

hello

BenJay

Method

I am eliacin, I need your help in maths

Rood

how can I help

Sir

hmm can we speak here?

Amoon

however, may I ask you some questions about Algarba?

Amoon

Enock

what the last part of the problem mean?

Roger

The Jones family took a 15 mile canoe ride down the Indian River in three hours. After lunch, the return trip back up the river took five hours. Find the rate, in mph, of the canoe in still water and the rate of the current.

cameron Reply

Shakir works at a computer store. His weekly pay will be either a fixed amount, $925, or $500 plus 12% of his total sales. How much should his total sales be for his variable pay option to exceed the fixed amount of $925.

mahnoor Reply

I'm guessing, but it's somewhere around $4335.00 I think

Lewis

12% of sales will need to exceed 925 - 500, or 425 to exceed fixed amount option. What amount of sales does that equal? 425 ÷ (12÷100) = 3541.67. So the answer is sales greater than 3541.67. Check: Sales = 3542 Commission 12%=425.04 Pay = 500 + 425.04 = 925.04. 925.04 > 925.00

Munster

difference between rational and irrational numbers

Arundhati Reply

When traveling to Great Britain, Bethany exchanged $602 US dollars into £515 British pounds. How many pounds did she receive for each US dollar?

Jakoiya Reply

how to reduced echelon form

Solomon Reply

Jazmine trained for 3 hours on Saturday. She ran 8 miles and then biked 24 miles. Her biking speed is 4 mph faster than her running speed. What is her running speed?

Zack Reply

d=r×t the equation would be 8/r+24/r+4=3 worked out

Sheirtina

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Source: OpenStax, Algebra and trigonometry. OpenStax CNX. Nov 14, 2016 Download for free at https://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11758/1.6

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