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Frequently, we observe a value of some random variable, but are really interested in a value derived from this by a function rule. If X is a random variable and g is a reasonable function (technically, a Borel function), then Z=g(X)is a new random variable which has the value g(t) for any ω such that X(ω)=t. Thus Z(ω)=g(X(ω)). Suppose we have the distribution for X. How can we determine P(Z∈M), the probability Z takes a value in the set M? Mapping approach. Simply find the amount of probability mass mapped into the set M by the random variable X. In the absolutely continuous case, integrate the density function for X over the set M. In the discrete case, as an alternative, select those possible values for X which are in the set M and add their probabilities.For a Borel function g and set M, determine the set N of all those t which are mapped into M, then determine the probability X is in N as in the previous case.

Introduction

Frequently, we observe a value of some random variable, but are really interested in a value derived from this by a function rule. If X is a random variable and g is a reasonable function (technically, a Borel function ), then Z = g ( X ) is a new random variable which has the value g ( t ) for any ω such that X ( ω ) = t . Thus Z ( ω ) = g ( X ( ω ) ) .

The problem; an approach

We consider, first, functions of a single random variable. A wide variety of functions are utilized in practice.

A quality control problem

In a quality control check on a production line for ball bearings it may be easier to weigh the balls than measure the diameters. If we can assume true spherical shape and w is the weight, then diameter is k w 1 / 3 , where k is a factor depending upon the formula for the volume of a sphere, the units of measurement, and the density of the steel.Thus, if X is the weight of the sampled ball, the desired random variable is D = k X 1 / 3 .

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Price breaks

The cultural committee of a student organization has arranged a special deal for tickets to a concert. The agreement is that the organization will purchase ten ticketsat $20 each (regardless of the number of individual buyers). Additional tickets are available according to the following schedule:

  • 11-20, $18 each
  • 21-30, $16 each
  • 31-50, $15 each
  • 51-100, $13 each

If the number of purchasers is a random variable X , the total cost (in dollars) is a random quantity Z = g ( X ) described by

g ( X ) = 200 + 18 I M 1 ( X ) ( X - 10 ) + ( 16 - 18 ) I M 2 ( X ) ( X - 20 )
+ ( 15 - 16 ) I M 3 ( X ) ( X - 30 ) + ( 13 - 15 ) I M 4 ( X ) ( X - 50 )
where M 1 = [ 10 , ) , M 2 = [ 20 , ) , M 3 = [ 30 , ) , M 4 = [ 50 , )

The function rule is more complicated than in [link] , but the essential problem is the same.

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The problem

If X is a random variable, then Z = g ( X ) is a new random variable. Suppose we have the distribution for X . How can we determine P ( Z M ) , the probability Z takes a value in the set M ?

An approach to a solution

We consider two equivalent approaches

  1. To find P ( X M ) .
    1. Mapping approach . Simply find the amount of probability mass mapped into the set M by the random variable X .
      • In the absolutely continuous case, calculate M f X .
      • In the discrete case, identify those values t i of X which are in the set M and add the associated probabilities.
    2. Discrete alternative . Consider each value t i of X . Select those which meet the defining conditions for M and add the associated probabilities. This is the approach we use in the MATLAB calculations. Note that it isnot necessary to describe geometrically the set M ; merely use the defining conditions.
  2. To find P ( g ( X ) M ) .
    1. Mapping approach . Determine the set N of all those t which are mapped into M by the function g . Now if X ( ω ) N , then g ( X ( ω ) ) M , and if g ( X ( ω ) ) M , then X ( ω ) N . Hence
      { ω : g ( X ( ω ) ) M } = { ω : X ( ω ) N }
      Since these are the same event, they must have the same probability. Once N is identified, determine P ( X N ) in the usual manner (see part a, above).
    2. Discrete alternative . For each possible value t i of X , determine whether g ( t i ) meets the defining condition for M . Select those t i which do and add the associated probabilities.

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Source:  OpenStax, Applied probability. OpenStax CNX. Aug 31, 2009 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col10708/1.6
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