<< Chapter < Page Chapter >> Page >

The chance of having an extra fortune in a fortune cookie is about 3%. Given a bag of 144 fortune cookies, we are interested in the number of cookies with an extra fortune. Two distributions may be used to solve this problem. Use one distribution to solve the problem.

  • How many cookies do we expect to have an extra fortune?
  • Find the probability that none of the cookies have an extra fortune.
  • Find the probability that more than 3 have an extra fortune.
  • As n size 12{X} {} increases, what happens involving the probabilities using the two distributions? Explain in complete sentences.
  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of fortune cookies that have an extra fortune
  • 0, 1, 2, 3,... 144
  • X ~ B(144, 0.03) or P(4.32)
  • 4.32
  • 0.0124 or 0.0133
  • 0.6300 or 0.6264

There are two games played for Chinese New Year and Vietnamese New Year. They are almost identical. In the Chinese version, fair dice with numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 are used, along with a board with those numbers. In the Vietnamese version, fair dice with pictures of a gourd, fish, rooster, crab, crayfish, and deer are used. The board has those six objects on it, also. We will play with bets being $1. The player places a bet on a number or object. The “house” rolls three dice. If none of the dice show the number or object that was bet, the house keeps the $1 bet. If one of the dice shows the number or object bet (and the other two do not show it), the player gets back his $1 bet, plus $1 profit. If two of the dice show the number or object bet (and the third die does not show it), the player gets back his $1 bet, plus $2 profit. If all three dice show the number or object bet, the player gets back his $1 bet, plus $3 profit.

Let X size 12{X} {} = number of matches and Y size 12{Y} {} = profit per game.

  • List the values that Y size 12{Y} {} may take on. Then, construct one PDF table that includes both X size 12{X} {} & Y size 12{Y} {} and their probabilities.
  • Calculate the average expected matches over the long run of playing this game for the player.
  • Calculate the average expected earnings over the long run of playing this game for the player.
  • Determine who has the advantage, the player or the house.

According to the South Carolina Department of Mental Health web site, for every 200 U.S. women, the average number who suffer from anorexia is one ( http://www.state.sc.us/dmh/anorexia/statistics.htm ). Out of a randomly chosen group of 600 U.S. women:

  • How many are expected to suffer from anorexia?
  • Find the probability that no one suffers from anorexia.
  • Find the probability that more than four suffer from anorexia.
  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of women that suffer from anorexia
  • 0, 1, 2, 3,... 600 (can leave off 600)
  • X ~ P(3)
  • 3
  • 0.0498
  • 0.1847

The average number of children a Japanese woman has in her lifetime is 1.37. Suppose that one Japanese woman is randomly chosen.
( http://www.mhlw.go.jp/english/policy/children/children-childrearing/index.html MHLW’s Pamphlet)

  • Find the probability that she has no children.
  • Find the probability that she has fewer children than the Japanese average.
  • Find the probability that she has more children than the Japanese average.

Get Jobilize Job Search Mobile App in your pocket Now!

Get it on Google Play Download on the App Store Now




Source:  OpenStax, Collaborative statistics (custom lecture version modified by t. short). OpenStax CNX. Jul 15, 2013 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col11543/1.1
Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google Inc.

Notification Switch

Would you like to follow the 'Collaborative statistics (custom lecture version modified by t. short)' conversation and receive update notifications?

Ask